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I Missed the Spike in January 2026 - What Now?

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January 27, 2026 will go down as a red letter date in the history of gold investing. At the end of trading on that fateful Tuesday, a single troy ounce of gold would cost an investor more than it ever had in history – $5,414.48.

Gold investors who were able to liquidate their holdings that day (or the next) sold at the very highest point of the market, before or since. However, those of us who didn’t have their packages ready to go were forced to watch the price decline from that high.

You may be wondering what to do now. If so, this page is for you. Let’s talk about the way that gold’s prices tend to move, the historical context of where things stand, and what you should do if you’re feeling regret about a missed opportunity.

Gold’s General Trends

First of all, let’s run through a brief history of gold’s price history. To be clear, this history is the American history of gold’s price. However, since gold’s prices are calculated in US dollars by default these days, it is a relevant story to bear in mind, regardless of where you live.

1900 – 1971

President William McKinley signed off on The Gold Standard Act in 1900. The new law officially set the US on the gold standard and ended any further debate from the silver proponents in the country. It also established $20.67 as the standard price for an ounce of gold.

This price point would remain the going rate for 33 years. Then, as part of his efforts to curb the Great Depression, President Franklin Roosevelt raised the price for an ounce up to $35 in 1934.

Gold would be valued at $35/oz in the United States until 1971. In that year, Richard Nixon’s termination of the Bretton Woods System allowed gold’s price to adjust in the open market for the first time in American history.

Since 1971

Since the end of Bretton Woods, the international agreement that allowed countries to trade gold for dollars at a fixed rate, the price of gold has embarked on a marvelous journey. American investors were prohibited from owning bullion until the first day of 1975 due to the existence of FDR’s ban on private ownership.

So, early gold investors missed out on the initial offering of gold at around $35. By the time President Gerald Ford lifted the ban, gold was trading for around $180 – $190.

Nevertheless, any gold trader that picked up gold in the mid-1970s and held onto it for the past 50+ years has seen their investment multiply almost 27 times over. HOWEVER, it has not been a linear path.

The Trend

Like many commodities, the story of gold’s price progress is one of rises and dips. In the time since Bretton Woods, there have been five distinct spikes and three significant dips.

To be clear, the spikes and dips are times where the 1000-foot view of gold’s price history reveals massive amounts of change. There have been minor wiggles one way or another in between the periods of significant shift, but overall, there is a distinct tale to be told.

Here are those spikes, dips, and their associated dates:

  • 🔺 – December 23, 1974 – $193.00: Even though private investors could not purchase gold, foreign and institutional investors pushed the price of gold to a new high in anticipation of the lifting of the ban (it was signed in August 1974, but not effective until this date).
  • 🔻 – August 6, 1976 – $112.50: The cessation of tensions in the Middle East generated some investor confidence in the dollar, which led them away from buying gold and caused gold to settle to its lowest free market price.
  • 🔺 – January 21, 1980 – $850: The shocking and disturbing November 1979 takeover of the American embassy in Tehran (and the broader Islamic Revolution in Iran) unsettled investors both domestically and overseas. In addition, inflation was extremely high worldwide and Russia’s contentious operations in Afghanistan were ongoing. Thus, investors flooded toward gold as never before, and pushed its price to an all-time high that, adjusted for inflation, stood as the record until 2025.
  • 🔻 – April 10, 2001 – $256.65: Inflation or not, the record established in 1980 stood as the absolute record until 2008. Though there were some ups and downs, gold’s price experienced a downward trend for the remainder of the 20th century, and reached this nadir in 2001 – a low price buoyed by the dot-com boom.
  • 🔺 – September 5, 2011 – $1,901.34: The 2000s were a tumultuous decade, both geopolitically and economically. The terrorist attacks of September 2001, the ensuing War on Terror, the burst of the dot-com bubble, and the larger implosion of the mortgage bubble and debt crisis plunged the world into the worst recession since the Great Depression – and culminated in this record high price in September 2011.
  • 🔻 – December 1, 2015 – $1,053.80: After the economic upheaval finally calmed down, investors returned to more traditional investments and grew more confident in US dollars and other fiat currencies. As a result, gold’s price stagnated, then dropped significantly in the mid-2010s to reach this point – the lowest in the decade and, for that matter, the lowest price ever since.
  • 🔺- August 6, 2020 – $2,069.28: Gold would slowly drift back upwards from the low point in December 2015 until December 2019 or so, but never above $1500/oz. However, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic created fear in investors like never before, and the very peak of the crisis produced this point, the highest to date and one of the few above $2,000/oz.
  • 🔺 – January 27, 2026 – $5,414.48: Now, you may have noticed that there was no dip between this high point and the previous one. That’s because the 2020s have experienced no real swoon since August 2020. Although there was a slow decline by a few hundred dollars in 2022, the reality is that gold hovered within a few hundred dollars of $2000/oz until February 2024. However, the massive increases in inflation in 2023 and 2024, the onset of two wars (Ukraine and Israel), and the 2025 institution of a new and aggressive US tariff policy created a bonfire of economic fear and uncertainty worldwide. As a result, gold’s price increased more than two-and-a-half times in just two years and pushed the record to an astounding point, where a single troy ounce cost buyers no less than $5,400 to purchase.

The Last Record Was Unprecedented (Just Like All the Others)

Hopefully, what you gathered from the previous section is not how astounding the January 2026 record was. It was, indeed, unprecedented.

However, by definition, all records are unprecedented. Each time a new high mark has occurred, anyone who is interested in gold investing or precious metals has marveled at the degree to which the price has increased.

To those who knew gold at $35/oz, seeing it at more than $850/oz less than ten years later had to have been gobsmacking. Buyers in the late 1990s/early 2000s undoubtedly never suspected that gold would be worth more than $1000/oz, let alone more than $1900/oz in 2011.

Anyone who bought gold in the early 2010s felt like a sap for the rest of the decade – only to watch their diligence pay off in 2020. Even those who might have felt bashful about their panicked purchases in the heat of the COVID-19 pandemic now have rates of return worthy of pride.

Gold Isn’t a Short-Term Investment

So, if you take nothing else away from this page, you should know the following sentence.

For the entire history of US gold trade within the free market, gold’s price has undeniably trended upwards.

Even though there have been periods of decline, gold’s price has always rebounded to its previous levels and beyond. The tricky part, though, is that it’s not clear exactly when the rebound will occur or how long it will take.

All of the gold that has ever been mined in the world is still here. It has never been destroyed or rendered something other than itself.

So, there is no reason to fret, worry, or hurry when it comes to gold investing. Though many people try to day trade or make short-term moves with gold, the reality is that gold’s primary value is its tangibility and longevity.

All Market Updates are provided as a third party analysis and do not necessarily reflect the explicit views of JM Bullion Inc. and should not be construed as financial advice.